"mazda616" (mazda616)
01/06/2016 at 21:33 • Filed to: Autonomous Cars
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"mazda616" (mazda616)
01/06/2016 at 21:33 • Filed to: Autonomous Cars | 0
| 14 |
Oppos, what say you?
How many years before autonomous cars are more common than human-driven ones? Do you think human driven cars will be outlawed?
Personally, I see 2030-ish as a benchmark for when autonomous cars will really take off. And I say by 2040 or 2050, they’ll be more common than human-driven cars. I think non-autonomous cars will be outlawed in states like California first, with less progressive states coming along later.
Either way, it makes me nervous. I can see their benefits but I also think there’s a lot that can go wrong. The main curiosity I have is how autonomous cars will perform in snow and pouring rain. The driving rain and flash floods I went through on December 23rd would all but blind sensors and such, I think.
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I hope by the time self-driving cars are the norm, I still have something to drive myself and have fun with at the track. I’ll settle for an old Jeep or something to drive off road, even. I just can’t ever give up this hobby. It’s not even a hobby, really. It’s a lifestyle.
TheHondaBro
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 21:43 |
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50 years.
Laird Andrew Neby Bradleigh
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 21:50 |
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Elf driving cars? I’d give it 130 years or so... ..Oh.. SELF driving cars? in California I’d give it 30 years.. here in Norway I’d say 40-50 years..
Wrong Wheel Drive (41%)
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 21:56 |
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More popular? It’s already upon us!
I mean if the car is an automatic, it already pretty much is autonomous anyways. Might as well automate the steering and gas pedal while you are at it. And no, saying “well not having to manually start the car via an exterior crank and set the choke is the same thing, why don’t we just ride horses” is not a valid argument lol.
BmanUltima's car still hasn't been fixed yet, he'll get on it tomorrow, honest.
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 21:58 |
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I wouldn’t worry about weather. The sensors don’t need to see like we do. I’m not sure exactly what they use, but think like aircraft being able to autopilot through dust and snow storms no problem.
Rainbow
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 21:59 |
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Normal cars will never be outlawed, though there may be restrictions. I can see interstates becoming autonomous-only roads in the next 40-50 years, but human-driven cars will be produced and used until there is no longer a market for them.
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mazda616
> BmanUltima's car still hasn't been fixed yet, he'll get on it tomorrow, honest.
01/06/2016 at 22:03 |
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This is the main thing that got my curiosity about that:
http://jalopnik.com/this-is-how-ba…
Sam
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 22:09 |
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I think 15-20 for sure. We’ll probably get early adoption models by 2020-2025.
Im looking forward to semiauto cars. I just did a 4.5 hour drive to Detroit it would have been great to have activated self-drive and just relaxed.
MLGCarGuy
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 22:09 |
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If California bans non-autonomous cars first then I’m moving.
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BmanUltima's car still hasn't been fixed yet, he'll get on it tomorrow, honest.
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 22:15 |
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Nothing a little programming can’t fix? Maybe?
Urambo Tauro
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 22:45 |
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The engineering required to produce a competent, functioning autonomobile is impressive, and it does seem logical that things could be even better if human drivers were removed from the rest of the cars on the road. That kinda seems to be the logical conclusion to all this, right?
But one thing that keeps bothering me about this is: what about motorcycles? Can autonomous technology be applied to a motorcycle? And if not, would governments go as far as to ban them in favor of driverless cars? Seems unreasonable to me.
wiffleballtony
> mazda616
01/06/2016 at 22:49 |
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Once the CDC labels cars as enough of a hazard to human health that the safety nannies petition congress enough is when they’ll outlaw human drivers. It has little to do with actual viability. Just look at CAFE standards, they’ll make the laws then expect the industry to comply.
Burn-Spaz1966-Burn
> mazda616
01/07/2016 at 00:00 |
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I would think those with High density populations would be the first targets. Big Cities. With a commute from Hell.
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Wrong Wheel Drive (41%)
> Urambo Tauro
01/07/2016 at 08:23 |
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I feel like once truly autonomous cars are the majority, there will actually be more motorcyles on the road. Since it would become exponentially safer to drive a motorcycle since there is much less risk of being ran over by a drunk or careless idiot. I have always said that I could never take the risk of getting into motorcycling but I definitely would consider it if all the other cars weren’t trying to kill me.
Frenchlicker
> Urambo Tauro
01/07/2016 at 09:56 |
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Motorcycle lanes maybe?